Plotted to smoke large parts of Nova Scotia including Halifax and area before going north to Newfoundland and Labrador. It "appears" to be getting pushed further east out to sea but it's "forecast" to slow down it's movement and take a more North/Northeast movement than it's current Northeast so lets PRAY they get it wrong and it keeps going more East.
It's currently an H4 which is fast enough to leave concrete pads where houses that had no basements. If they had basements, all that would be left would be a concrete basement. At 940mb pressure, it's not so far from the basement as far as how low it can go with the temperature of waters where it's moving. As an example, H5=Hurricane Katrina got to 902mb but dropped when it got close to New Orleans. 902mb is the 3rd strongest hurricane to ever hit North America so you can imagine that 940 is really not that much better. 940mb is more than enough to maintain an H4. (Note, higher is better, lower is stronger/more dangerous)
At 185km wide, it's pretty frigging huge. The size is important because hurricanes make their own weather. The larger the storm, the wider the storm is to pull moisture/strength in from outlying storms.
Storm surge on the Eastern parts of Nova Scotia are expected to max out at 8-12 METERS...that is to say, 24-36 FEET waves that are kind of like tsunamis in that they keep pressing in and in and in. The important part of this is that even though the storm will weaken, the storm surge takes days to slow down. Think about a train that is 100's of billions of tons in weight trying to slow down with no brakes.
So let's pray for the folks out there. It's going to start getting bad late tonight and during Saturday. It's hard to say what it'll do if it hits Nova Scotia before going to Newfoundland and Labrador. If it hits NS, it'll rapidly slow before it hits NF/Lab.
If you want a great source, come join the meteorological site I'm on at flhurricane.com. Graphs and raw data of what's happened/happening to the storm right now as they send out Storm Hunter airplanes and dropsonde storms every couple of hours to study and track the storm.
It's really not looking good. Possibly 24-36 foot waves on shores that aren't very high.
It's currently an H4 which is fast enough to leave concrete pads where houses that had no basements. If they had basements, all that would be left would be a concrete basement. At 940mb pressure, it's not so far from the basement as far as how low it can go with the temperature of waters where it's moving. As an example, H5=Hurricane Katrina got to 902mb but dropped when it got close to New Orleans. 902mb is the 3rd strongest hurricane to ever hit North America so you can imagine that 940 is really not that much better. 940mb is more than enough to maintain an H4. (Note, higher is better, lower is stronger/more dangerous)
At 185km wide, it's pretty frigging huge. The size is important because hurricanes make their own weather. The larger the storm, the wider the storm is to pull moisture/strength in from outlying storms.
Storm surge on the Eastern parts of Nova Scotia are expected to max out at 8-12 METERS...that is to say, 24-36 FEET waves that are kind of like tsunamis in that they keep pressing in and in and in. The important part of this is that even though the storm will weaken, the storm surge takes days to slow down. Think about a train that is 100's of billions of tons in weight trying to slow down with no brakes.
So let's pray for the folks out there. It's going to start getting bad late tonight and during Saturday. It's hard to say what it'll do if it hits Nova Scotia before going to Newfoundland and Labrador. If it hits NS, it'll rapidly slow before it hits NF/Lab.
If you want a great source, come join the meteorological site I'm on at flhurricane.com. Graphs and raw data of what's happened/happening to the storm right now as they send out Storm Hunter airplanes and dropsonde storms every couple of hours to study and track the storm.
It's really not looking good. Possibly 24-36 foot waves on shores that aren't very high.
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